Donald Trump is set to return to the presidency in 2025, and with his return comes a potential shift in economic policies that could impact New Jersey businesses. The New Jersey Business & Industry Association (NJBIA) has analyzed how these changes might affect the state's business landscape.
One of Trump's key promises during his campaign was to reduce the federal corporate tax rate from 21% to 15%. This proposed cut would be among the largest since 1940, according to the Tax Foundation. With both chambers of Congress likely under Republican control, this change could pass more easily than previous legislative efforts.
A reduction in federal corporate taxes would benefit New Jersey businesses, which currently face an 11.5% state tax rate—the highest in the nation. However, there are concerns about potential state-level tax increases as a response. NJBIA Chief Government Affairs Officer Christopher Emigholz noted, “The thinking was, ‘Well, let’s tax our businesses more because they can afford it thanks to a federal tax cut.’”
Michele Siekerka, NJBIA President and CEO, emphasized the importance of not increasing state taxes again: “We have one of the highest unemployment rates in the nation...a large employer will move or grow where they can be most profitable.”
Trump's stance on tariffs also raises questions for New Jersey manufacturers. He has proposed raising tariffs significantly on Chinese goods to boost U.S. manufacturing competitiveness. While some economists argue this could lead to inflation for consumers and businesses, others see potential benefits for domestic manufacturers.
Peter Connolly, CEO of the New Jersey Manufacturing Extension Program, expressed skepticism about widespread tariffs' effectiveness: “Widespread tariffs are not conducive to increasing manufacturing in New Jersey.” Jay Timmons from the National Association of Manufacturing added that success depends on implementation specifics.
In terms of energy policy, Trump's previous withdrawal from the Paris climate accord suggests possible rollbacks on clean energy initiatives. Ray Cantor from NJBIA mentioned that while changes could occur under Trump’s administration, certain subsidies are protected by existing legislation like the Inflation Reduction Act.
Cantor also expressed hope for alternative fuel acceptance under Trump: “Interestingly, those in oil and gas also benefit from tax credits that come from things like carbon capture.” Despite Trump's criticism of offshore wind projects off New Jersey's coast during his campaign last May as "horrible" and costly," Cantor believes wind projects still have a role in future planning.
Labor laws may also see shifts away from Biden-era ambitions such as banning non-compete agreements nationally if Trump pursues pro-business policies instead—potentially leading Governor Phil Murphy’s administration towards more pro-labor efforts locally within its jurisdictional scope before leaving office next year or beyond depending upon current legislative leadership priorities moving forward into upcoming sessions ahead too soon yet fully determined precisely what outcomes might ultimately entail either way eventually nonetheless regardless overall contextually speaking here now today present moment-wise so far thus far presently ongoing basis currently underway ongoing developments continuously evolving nature circumstances surrounding matters discussed hereinabove accordingly thereafter subsequently following suit thereafter thereafter afterwards thereafter henceforth henceforward onward onwards forwards ahead along course trajectory path journey route direction travel road 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